Research

Academic research summaries, calibration studies, and methodological deep dives.

10 articles

Kalshi Withdraws Montana Lawsuit as Ninth Circuit Fight ContinuesResearch

Kalshi Withdraws Montana Lawsuit as Ninth Circuit Fight Continues

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 20, 2026
8 min
Washington Judge Rejects Kalshi Bid to Reconsider InjunctionResearch

Washington Judge Rejects Kalshi Bid to Reconsider Injunction

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 20, 2026
9 min
I Investigated The "Rebate Gate" Scandal Rocking Polymarket — Here Is The Truth They Tried To SilenceResearch

I Investigated The "Rebate Gate" Scandal Rocking Polymarket — Here Is The Truth They Tried To Silence

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 20, 2026
8 min
Polymarket's Dispute System Faces Claims of Frontrunning as Users Press for ResolutionsResearch

Polymarket's Dispute System Faces Claims of Frontrunning as Users Press for Resolutions

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 17, 2026
3 min
Prediction Market Trading Volume Hits $13.9B From September 1–7, 2026 as Kalshi LeadsResearch

Prediction Market Trading Volume Hits $13.9B From September 1–7, 2026 as Kalshi Leads

Ezekiel Njuguna·September 9, 2026
9 min
Prediction Market Statistics 2026: The Complete Industry Data ReportResearch

Prediction Market Statistics 2026: The Complete Industry Data Report

Prediction markets hit $64B in 2025, projected $240B+ in 2026. See Polymarket, Kalshi data, user demographics, accuracy rates, and growth forecasts through 2030

Ezekiel Njuguna·August 19, 2026
10 min
Is Kalshi or Polymarket Bigger? The 2026 Volume Numbers, ExplainedResearch

Is Kalshi or Polymarket Bigger? The 2026 Volume Numbers, Explained

Kalshi moved $31.5B in June 2026, nearly 3x Polymarket's $10.8B. Full breakdown of volume, market share, valuation, and what's driving the gap.

Ezekiel Njuguna·August 11, 2026
5 min
Kalshi vs Polymarket Fees: What You Actually Pay in 2026Research

Kalshi vs Polymarket Fees: What You Actually Pay in 2026

Kalshi charges up to 1.75¢ per contract, Polymarket varies by category from 1¢ to 1.75¢. Full fee breakdown, maker rates, and hidden withdrawal costs.

Ezekiel Njuguna·August 10, 2026
7 min
Polymarket’s Biggest Markets Ever: The Top 25 Prediction Markets by Real Money VolumeResearch

Polymarket’s Biggest Markets Ever: The Top 25 Prediction Markets by Real Money Volume

Analyze Polymarket’s top 25 prediction markets by real money volume, from the 2024 Trump election market to Fed, Iran, Bitcoin, and World Cup trades.

Ezekiel Njuguna·August 6, 2026
15 min
World Cup Prediction Markets Explained: Essential Terms for Polymarket and KalshiResearch

World Cup Prediction Markets Explained: Essential Terms for Polymarket and Kalshi

These are the terms that describe how prediction markets work at a mechanical level.

Ezekiel Njuguna·May 22, 2025
14 min