Forecasting

Polymarket Oracle Crisis Raises Questions Over Market Resolutions

Polymarket September 2026 Resolution Disputes Raise Questions Over Market Rules

The Milan METAR Outage That Exposed the Flaw in Polymarket's New Weather Settlement Rule

How to Actually Win on Kalshi Weather Markets During This Monster El Nino

Record heat could reshape weather markets through 2027. Learn how to assess Kalshi odds, read forecasts, manage risk, and avoid overpriced trades.

How Esports Prediction Markets Work and Why Liquidity Disappears

Learn why esports prediction markets follow predictable liquidity cycles, how adverse selection affects market makers, and why capital velocity matters.

Meta Arena: Facebook's New Prediction Market App for 3 Billion Users Explained

Meta is reportedly building a prediction markets app called Arena, combining AI, forecasting, and event trading. Here’s what the project could mean

How a Polymarket Bot Turned $44K Into $200K Using Microstructure Scalping on Bitcoin 5-Minute Markets

Understanding why 5-minute BTC markets on Polymarket create exploitable microstructure requires understanding what happens inside a 5-minute window as Bitcoin moves and as traders with different information and different speeds interact on the same order book.